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2022-04-07

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 62.8% 37.2% -
Bradley-Terry 58.9% 41.1% -
Margin 74.6% 25.4% -5.9 (17.1 off)
Pythagorean 54.2% 45.8% -
Efficiency 72.6% 27.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.0% 31.0% -
Log Adjusted 69.1% 30.9% -
Points Off/Def 58.5% 41.5% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -23 (94-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 34 10-21 2-4 3-6 7 4 4 1 25 - -
Jayson Tatum * 30 5-18 1-8 5-7 10 8 2 1 16 - -
Daniel Theis * 30 6-12 1-4 2-2 6 1 0 0 15 - -
Al Horford * 29 7-7 3-3 0-0 10 2 2 1 17 - -
Marcus Smart * 25 3-7 3-6 0-0 2 6 1 1 9 - -
Grant Williams 25 1-2 1-1 2-2 2 1 1 1 5 - -
Derrick White 23 4-8 1-2 1-4 1 3 0 0 10 - -
Payton Pritchard 17 3-7 3-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 9 - -
Luke Kornet 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 - -
Aaron Nesmith 5 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Sam Hauser 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Brodric Thomas 4 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Malik Fitts 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 32 6-16 1-1 3-4 2 5 2 0 16 - -
Zach LaVine * 27 2-9 0-5 3-3 2 4 0 1 7 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 25 5-13 1-3 2-2 7 1 1 0 13 - -
Patrick Williams * 25 2-7 0-2 1-3 5 0 0 0 5 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 22 3-4 1-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 7 - -
Coby White 25 3-6 2-3 2-2 3 2 2 0 10 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 23 3-8 0-4 3-4 4 1 0 1 9 - -
Tristan Thompson 21 4-5 0-0 2-3 6 1 0 0 10 - -
Javonte Green 21 4-6 1-2 0-0 6 0 1 2 9 - -
Tony Bradley 6 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Malcolm Hill 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter