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2022-04-07

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 20.2% 79.8% -
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% -
Margin 17.0% 83.0% +8.7 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.4% 59.6% -
Efficiency 29.1% 70.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.5% 69.5% -
Log Adjusted 30.5% 69.5% -
Points Off/Def 32.2% 67.8% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +15 (118-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kristaps Porzingis * 32 8-16 4-8 6-7 18 4 1 2 26 35 -
Corey Kispert * 32 5-11 2-7 0-0 3 3 0 0 12 7 -
Rui Hachimura * 31 4-12 0-5 1-2 6 0 0 0 9 3 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 26 4-8 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 9 5 -
Tomas Satoransky * 25 4-5 1-2 0-0 1 5 0 0 9 10 -
Deni Avdija 33 4-11 1-7 0-0 7 6 0 0 9 11 -
Ish Smith 22 4-10 1-2 0-0 2 6 2 1 9 10 -
Daniel Gafford 14 5-6 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 1 12 9 -
Anthony Gill 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
Thomas Bryant 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 -
Raul Neto 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Danilo Gallinari * 39 11-19 4-7 0-0 10 1 1 0 26 19 -
Trae Young * 37 8-17 3-9 11-12 2 11 0 0 30 26 -
Kevin Huerter * 28 2-9 1-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 5 2 -
De'Andre Hunter * 27 3-13 2-4 2-3 4 1 1 1 10 4 -
Clint Capela * 25 9-11 0-0 1-2 7 0 4 0 19 19 -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 28 6-13 6-9 0-0 2 4 0 0 18 11 -
Delon Wright 25 0-2 0-2 2-2 4 3 4 0 2 11 -
Onyeka Okongwu 21 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 0 8 13 -
Jalen Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Sharife Cooper 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Skylar Mays 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kevin Knox II 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Gorgui Dieng 1 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter