Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.6% | 46.4% | -0.8 | ✓ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -18 (113-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 35 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 34 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 33 | 8-21 | 2-11 | 8-13 | 8 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 31 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 30 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 23 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 21 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 12 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 38 | 7-19 | 1-4 | 10-11 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 33 | 1-11 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 28 | 6-13 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Livers * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jamorko Pickett | 20 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Braxton Key | 19 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 18 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Carsen Edwards | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter