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2022-04-06

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 15.6% 84.4% -
Bradley-Terry 30.3% 69.7% -
Margin 23.6% 76.4% +6.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 34.6% 65.4% -
Efficiency 16.7% 83.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.5% 82.5% -
Log Adjusted 17.5% 82.5% -
Points Off/Def 23.6% 76.4% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +11 (121-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 35 10-18 0-2 1-2 13 1 1 1 21 - -
Russell Westbrook * 34 10-20 2-3 6-8 5 3 0 0 28 - -
Dwight Howard * 19 2-3 0-1 6-6 7 1 0 0 10 - -
Malik Monk * 18 3-7 1-2 0-0 3 5 0 0 7 - -
Avery Bradley * 17 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -
Austin Reaves 30 6-10 2-6 4-6 4 6 1 0 18 - -
Carmelo Anthony 23 3-10 2-6 2-2 6 2 2 1 10 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 21 2-5 1-2 2-2 3 2 2 0 7 - -
D.J. Augustin 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -
Stanley Johnson 14 0-4 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 5 1-2 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 29 12-22 6-9 2-2 7 4 1 0 32 - -
Mikal Bridges * 26 5-7 0-1 0-0 4 2 2 0 10 - -
Deandre Ayton * 26 10-14 0-0 2-2 13 2 0 1 22 - -
Chris Paul * 23 3-7 0-2 0-0 4 12 2 0 6 - -
Jae Crowder * 23 3-11 2-8 0-1 4 5 2 0 8 - -
Cameron Johnson 24 4-11 3-7 1-2 5 1 1 0 12 - -
Cameron Payne 23 2-8 0-3 0-0 3 11 1 0 4 - -
Landry Shamet 20 4-11 0-6 1-1 1 0 0 0 9 - -
JaVale McGee 16 4-7 0-0 1-1 9 1 1 3 9 - -
Torrey Craig 16 3-3 3-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 9 - -
Bismack Biyombo 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Aaron Holiday 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ish Wainright 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Gabriel Lundberg 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter