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2022-04-06

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 36.2% 63.8% -
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% -
Margin 35.1% 64.9% +3.4 (17.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% -
Efficiency 63.1% 36.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.0% 39.0% -
Log Adjusted 61.1% 38.9% -
Points Off/Def 51.9% 48.1% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -14 (109-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 33 5-15 1-3 6-8 7 8 0 0 17 - -
Herbert Jones * 33 2-6 1-3 3-3 0 1 4 0 8 - -
CJ McCollum * 30 10-19 1-5 2-3 4 5 4 0 23 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 29 10-14 2-3 1-3 12 1 1 0 23 - -
Willy Hernangomez * 25 5-12 0-0 2-2 12 3 0 1 12 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 22 3-5 0-0 4-4 4 3 1 1 10 - -
Trey Murphy III 18 4-4 4-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 14 - -
Devonte' Graham 17 5-8 3-6 1-1 0 2 1 0 14 - -
Jose Alvarado 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 - -
Naji Marshall 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Davion Mitchell * 39 6-14 1-4 2-2 1 17 0 0 15 - -
Harrison Barnes * 29 4-9 0-5 4-4 6 1 0 0 12 - -
Damian Jones * 28 8-10 1-1 5-5 4 1 0 1 22 - -
Trey Lyles * 19 3-5 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Justin Holiday * 17 2-4 2-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 6 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 29 2-8 2-7 0-0 3 2 1 0 6 - -
Chimezie Metu 28 5-8 1-3 1-2 5 0 1 1 12 - -
Jeremy Lamb 22 5-9 2-4 3-3 5 5 1 1 15 - -
Josh Jackson 13 3-6 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Neemias Queta 10 1-3 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter