Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | +6.1 | ✗ (25.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -19 (97-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 34 | 7-14 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 33 | 8-15 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Joshua Primo * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 25 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 20 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 17 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Joe Wieskamp | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 40 | 18-35 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 39 | 3-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 35 | 8-16 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 33 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers * | 32 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 17 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 7 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter