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2022-04-06

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 36.5% 63.5% -
Bradley-Terry 49.0% 51.0% -
Margin 51.6% 48.4% -0.3 (20.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% -
Efficiency 62.0% 38.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.9% 42.1% -
Log Adjusted 57.9% 42.1% -
Points Off/Def 50.9% 49.1% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -21 (106-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 34 5-12 1-3 0-0 6 13 0 1 11 - -
Brook Lopez * 29 9-14 1-4 9-9 7 0 2 3 28 - -
Khris Middleton * 27 8-17 3-10 0-0 4 5 3 0 19 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 24 7-13 1-2 3-5 9 7 0 0 18 - -
Wesley Matthews * 22 3-4 3-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 11 - -
Bobby Portis 26 6-11 1-4 0-0 9 2 0 0 13 - -
Grayson Allen 24 4-6 1-3 4-4 3 1 0 2 13 - -
George Hill 17 1-1 0-0 3-3 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Pat Connaughton 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 - -
Jevon Carter 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -
Jordan Nwora 4 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 36 16-26 0-2 8-8 3 6 1 0 40 - -
Patrick Williams * 31 7-9 2-4 2-2 6 0 0 0 18 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 26 3-19 1-6 0-0 6 3 1 0 7 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 24 4-9 0-1 1-1 6 1 2 0 9 - -
Alex Caruso * 22 0-6 0-5 0-0 3 8 0 0 0 - -
Coby White 31 5-11 3-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 13 - -
Javonte Green 22 2-5 1-2 2-2 3 1 3 0 7 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 20 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 2 1 1 6 - -
Tristan Thompson 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 4 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Tony Bradley 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter