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2022-04-05

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 38.0% 62.0% -
Bradley-Terry 41.5% 58.5% -
Margin 40.6% 59.4% +2.1 (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% -
Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.5% 55.5% -
Log Adjusted 44.6% 55.4% -
Points Off/Def 42.0% 58.0% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +10 (118-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Andre Hunter * 37 8-17 0-2 4-4 6 2 0 1 20 - -
Trae Young * 37 10-23 3-8 3-4 4 15 0 0 26 - -
Clint Capela * 32 5-8 0-0 0-1 14 0 2 0 10 - -
Kevin Huerter * 31 8-13 5-9 0-0 2 4 1 1 21 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot * 21 3-5 1-3 0-1 2 2 0 0 7 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 32 7-17 5-12 0-0 9 3 0 1 19 - -
Delon Wright 16 1-3 0-1 1-2 4 3 1 0 3 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 - -
Lou Williams 10 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Jalen Johnson 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 40 12-23 1-4 6-8 13 6 1 1 31 - -
Fred VanVleet * 36 4-21 2-12 2-3 2 9 1 1 12 - -
Scottie Barnes * 35 7-13 1-3 4-7 14 1 0 0 19 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 32 5-13 1-6 3-3 4 2 1 1 14 - -
Khem Birch * 24 2-3 0-0 1-1 8 0 0 2 5 - -
Precious Achiuwa 23 4-11 0-4 3-5 2 0 1 0 11 - -
Chris Boucher 21 7-11 3-5 1-2 7 0 1 0 18 - -
Thaddeus Young 14 3-6 1-1 0-0 8 1 0 0 7 - -
Malachi Flynn 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalano Banton 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 - -

* = starter