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2022-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 55.9% 44.1% -
Bradley-Terry 56.1% 43.9% -
Margin 59.8% 40.2% -2.2 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 62.4% 37.6% -
Efficiency 79.8% 20.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.0% 22.0% -
Log Adjusted 78.0% 22.0% -
Points Off/Def 67.4% 32.6% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -7 (132-139). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 35 12-21 4-12 5-5 4 5 2 1 33 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 35 12-16 1-3 3-5 11 5 1 0 28 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 34 7-16 4-11 4-4 1 9 4 0 22 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 29 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 2 - -
Malik Beasley * 28 4-8 3-7 1-1 1 4 2 1 12 - -
Taurean Prince 20 2-3 0-0 2-3 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Josh Okogie 16 3-4 0-0 5-6 0 1 2 1 11 - -
Jaylen Nowell 14 4-7 2-3 0-1 2 4 0 1 10 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 13 3-4 3-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 9 - -
Naz Reid 12 3-6 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 6 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Green * 36 12-18 4-8 3-6 2 5 0 0 31 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 35 6-14 4-10 5-5 6 8 2 0 21 - -
Alperen Sengun * 32 5-7 0-1 4-4 15 4 0 1 14 - -
Garrison Mathews * 28 2-9 2-8 1-2 1 2 2 1 7 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 20 4-10 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 9 - -
Josh Christopher 30 11-14 3-5 5-7 3 0 2 0 30 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 27 4-4 2-2 1-2 1 3 1 2 11 - -
Usman Garuba 15 3-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 6 - -
Daishen Nix 13 1-6 0-3 1-3 0 5 0 0 3 - -

* = starter