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2022-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 35.5% 64.5% -
Bradley-Terry 32.1% 67.9% -
Margin 21.7% 78.3% +7.0 (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -
Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.1% 49.9% -
Log Adjusted 50.1% 49.9% -
Points Off/Def 46.1% 53.9% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -4 (108-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 40 4-13 2-7 11-12 10 10 0 0 21 - -
Joel Embiid * 38 12-26 3-6 17-20 17 3 1 5 44 - -
Tobias Harris * 36 4-14 0-5 3-5 5 3 0 1 11 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 29 4-11 2-4 1-1 0 3 1 0 11 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 24 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 3 2 2 4 - -
Georges Niang 22 2-4 2-4 2-2 5 1 0 0 8 - -
Danny Green 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 5 0 2 0 3 - -
Shake Milton 14 1-1 1-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -
DeAndre Jordan 9 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lauri Markkanen * 38 5-12 4-7 2-2 7 2 0 0 16 - -
Darius Garland * 37 7-18 3-5 6-6 4 4 4 0 23 - -
Caris LeVert * 37 7-14 2-5 2-2 3 7 1 0 18 - -
Isaac Okoro * 31 0-2 0-1 3-6 4 1 1 0 3 - -
Moses Brown * 19 3-8 0-0 3-6 12 0 0 0 9 - -
Lamar Stevens 26 6-10 0-3 6-7 3 2 1 3 18 - -
Kevin Love 20 4-9 3-7 1-2 5 3 0 0 12 - -
Rajon Rondo 14 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 2 2 0 6 - -
Cedi Osman 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 - -
Ed Davis 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter