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2022-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 83.6% 16.4% -
Bradley-Terry 43.9% 56.1% -
Margin 41.4% 58.6% +1.9 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 40.2% 59.8% -
Efficiency 32.6% 67.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.5% 66.5% -
Log Adjusted 33.5% 66.5% -
Points Off/Def 35.3% 64.7% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -4 (117-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Frank Jackson * 36 6-13 2-5 5-7 3 4 0 0 19 - -
Isaiah Livers * 34 3-10 2-7 3-4 4 3 2 1 11 - -
Saddiq Bey * 22 11-18 7-9 2-2 4 2 2 0 31 - -
Killian Hayes * 22 4-9 2-3 0-0 0 7 1 0 10 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 21 2-5 1-1 0-0 8 1 0 1 5 - -
Carsen Edwards 30 5-15 2-6 1-1 3 9 2 0 13 - -
Braxton Key 28 5-11 1-2 1-2 9 2 3 0 12 - -
Rodney McGruder 25 5-11 3-6 0-0 5 2 0 1 13 - -
Kelly Olynyk 18 2-7 1-2 2-2 2 1 1 1 7 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 39 6-13 0-5 7-8 9 17 0 2 19 - -
Oshae Brissett * 34 7-14 4-6 2-2 10 5 1 0 20 - -
Terry Taylor * 32 6-9 3-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 15 - -
Buddy Hield * 32 8-17 3-12 0-0 9 4 0 1 19 - -
Goga Bitadze * 8 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 6 - -
Isaiah Jackson 23 8-10 0-0 3-5 7 1 2 3 19 - -
Duane Washington Jr. 22 4-13 2-8 2-2 5 2 2 0 12 - -
Jalen Smith 21 2-7 0-1 1-2 7 0 1 1 5 - -
Justin Anderson 17 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 2 0 - -
Lance Stephenson 8 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -

* = starter