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2022-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 73.7% 26.3% -
Bradley-Terry 56.9% 43.1% -
Margin 62.3% 37.7% -2.8 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.4% 45.6% -
Efficiency 63.8% 36.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.9% 36.1% -
Log Adjusted 63.9% 36.1% -
Points Off/Def 55.5% 44.5% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -11 (118-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Barton * 36 8-12 6-8 3-4 1 2 1 0 25 - -
Aaron Gordon * 36 9-14 3-5 3-4 8 3 0 1 24 - -
Monte Morris * 35 1-9 0-4 4-4 3 10 2 1 6 - -
Nikola Jokic * 32 15-22 0-3 8-11 18 6 3 2 38 - -
JaMychal Green * 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Bones Hyland 26 4-9 1-6 1-1 2 4 2 0 10 - -
Austin Rivers 22 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Davon Reed 21 3-4 2-2 2-2 1 2 2 0 10 - -
DeMarcus Cousins 15 6-9 0-2 2-3 3 3 0 1 14 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 34 11-25 0-0 6-6 9 8 2 3 28 - -
Russell Westbrook * 33 11-15 0-1 5-10 10 7 2 1 27 - -
Malik Monk * 33 5-9 1-3 0-0 3 6 0 0 11 - -
Avery Bradley * 27 4-5 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 10 - -
Dwight Howard * 23 3-5 0-0 2-4 7 0 0 0 8 - -
Carmelo Anthony 25 8-18 1-7 0-0 2 2 0 0 17 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 17 3-6 0-1 1-1 4 3 0 0 7 - -
D.J. Augustin 16 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Stanley Johnson 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 4 - -

* = starter