Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -6 (112-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 41 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 40 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 39 | 9-22 | 3-9 | 11-14 | 8 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 36 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 31 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 20 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 17 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 39 | 12-22 | 0-3 | 4-8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 36 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 36 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 22 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 23 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 22 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter