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2022-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 9.2% 90.8% -
Bradley-Terry 15.2% 84.8% -
Margin 5.0% 95.0% +16.2 (25.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.2% 64.8% -
Efficiency 15.8% 84.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% -
Log Adjusted 16.3% 83.7% -
Points Off/Def 23.0% 77.0% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +42 (144-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Kispert * 32 4-6 1-3 1-1 5 2 0 0 10 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 30 7-17 1-4 2-2 4 0 1 1 17 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 25 5-15 2-3 5-5 7 1 0 0 17 - -
Rui Hachimura * 24 0-5 0-3 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 20 2-4 0-0 3-4 1 7 0 0 7 - -
Ish Smith 27 8-10 0-0 0-0 1 5 2 0 16 - -
Anthony Gill 25 1-8 1-3 6-6 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Deni Avdija 22 4-7 2-3 0-0 1 3 0 1 10 - -
Daniel Gafford 14 4-6 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 9 - -
Thomas Bryant 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Raul Neto 8 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 5 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 29 9-17 1-5 3-6 6 7 2 1 22 - -
Al Horford * 29 4-9 2-6 0-0 8 6 1 1 10 - -
Jaylen Brown * 28 12-17 4-5 4-4 7 5 2 0 32 - -
Daniel Theis * 23 3-8 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Marcus Smart * 23 3-6 1-4 0-0 1 7 0 0 7 - -
Grant Williams 28 6-7 4-5 0-0 3 0 0 2 16 - -
Derrick White 24 6-7 3-3 2-3 5 3 0 0 17 - -
Payton Pritchard 17 5-8 4-7 0-0 1 3 0 0 14 - -
Aaron Nesmith 8 4-5 3-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 11 - -
Luke Kornet 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 4 - -
Sam Hauser 8 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 - -
Malik Fitts 5 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 5 - -
Juwan Morgan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter