Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.4% | 48.6% | -0.3 | ✓ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls -18 (109-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 35 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 27 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 25 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 24 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 29 | 6-16 | 6-7 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 23 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 20 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 19 | 6-9 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Udonis Haslem | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 37 | 6-18 | 1-4 | 13-13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Zach LaVine * | 34 | 11-21 | 5-12 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Nikola Vucevic * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ayo Dosunmu * | 31 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Patrick Williams | 29 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Coby White | 20 | 0-9 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tony Bradley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter