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New Orleans Pelicans 114
@
Los Angeles Lakers 111
2022-04-02

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 33.1% 66.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% - ✗
Margin 31.9% 68.1% +4.2 ✗ (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% - ✓
Efficiency 55.0% 45.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 57.0% 43.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 57.1% 42.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 49.7% 50.3% - ✗

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -3 (111-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 40 12-23 4-8 4-4 7 4 2 0 32 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 37 6-10 1-2 4-5 12 6 1 1 17 - -
Herbert Jones * 36 4-9 1-5 3-4 1 1 1 1 12 - -
Brandon Ingram * 34 10-17 0-2 9-9 8 7 1 2 29 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 23 2-4 0-1 2-2 1 0 2 0 6 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 - -
Devonte' Graham 14 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Trey Murphy III 14 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Naji Marshall 14 2-4 0-2 3-4 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Jose Alvarado 7 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 3 0 0 2 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 39 13-23 3-8 9-12 8 4 1 0 38 - -
Anthony Davis * 36 8-17 1-2 6-9 12 6 1 0 23 - -
Avery Bradley * 33 4-5 2-2 0-0 1 1 3 0 10 - -
Russell Westbrook * 30 5-15 2-4 0-0 4 5 0 0 12 - -
Dwight Howard * 22 2-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 1 6 - -
Malik Monk 34 5-11 2-5 1-2 5 7 2 0 13 - -
Stanley Johnson 22 0-2 0-2 4-6 1 1 2 0 4 - -
D.J. Augustin 16 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter