Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✗ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -6 (130-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 40 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 36 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 10-11 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 31 | 11-18 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 32 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince | 28 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 23 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 16 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 15 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 43 | 14-21 | 0-2 | 10-12 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 37 | 9-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 31 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 30 | 8-12 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 28 | 3-14 | 2-12 | 6-6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter