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2022-04-02

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 31.2% 68.8% -
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% -
Margin 26.3% 73.7% +5.7 (13.3 off)
Pythagorean 31.0% 69.0% -
Efficiency 16.6% 83.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.1% 81.9% -
Log Adjusted 18.0% 82.0% -
Points Off/Def 24.1% 75.9% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +19 (130-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Williams * 29 4-10 3-4 6-7 4 3 1 0 17 - -
Greg Brown III * 29 4-8 2-3 3-4 9 1 2 0 13 - -
Drew Eubanks * 29 5-11 0-1 3-4 6 3 1 0 13 - -
Keon Johnson * 25 8-15 4-6 0-0 3 3 1 0 20 - -
CJ Elleby * 22 0-8 0-4 0-0 3 6 1 0 0 - -
Kris Dunn 23 6-11 0-2 0-0 2 8 1 1 12 - -
Ben McLemore 20 4-9 2-6 2-2 1 0 1 0 12 - -
Keljin Blevins 18 4-9 2-6 0-1 3 1 2 0 10 - -
Reggie Perry 18 5-9 1-2 0-2 10 0 0 1 11 - -
Didi Louzada 16 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 - -
Elijah Hughes 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tre Jones * 33 4-8 0-0 1-1 5 9 2 0 9 - -
Joshua Primo * 30 4-10 2-6 3-3 3 4 1 0 13 - -
Keldon Johnson * 27 6-10 5-8 4-4 5 6 0 0 21 - -
Devin Vassell * 27 9-15 4-8 0-0 4 3 0 0 22 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 23 6-10 0-0 1-1 6 3 0 1 13 - -
Zach Collins 24 3-5 0-1 9-12 9 5 2 2 15 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 22 5-9 1-5 1-2 3 1 2 1 12 - -
Josh Richardson 20 5-8 2-5 0-0 2 1 2 1 12 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 16 1-3 0-2 1-2 4 2 0 0 3 - -
Jock Landale 14 3-3 2-2 2-3 3 0 0 1 10 - -

* = starter