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2022-04-02

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 76.2% 23.8% -
Bradley-Terry 47.2% 52.8% -
Margin 38.4% 61.6% +2.6 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% -
Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.3% 50.7% -
Log Adjusted 49.3% 50.7% -
Points Off/Def 44.1% 55.9% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +8 (122-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 37 17-28 3-6 4-5 4 4 0 0 41 - -
Mikal Bridges * 32 8-11 1-3 1-2 2 3 2 1 18 - -
Chris Paul * 31 2-6 1-3 3-5 1 11 3 0 8 - -
Jae Crowder * 28 3-7 2-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 8 - -
Deandre Ayton * 25 4-8 0-0 1-3 12 1 0 0 9 - -
JaVale McGee 22 4-7 0-0 0-0 12 0 1 2 8 - -
Cameron Payne 17 5-6 1-2 0-0 5 4 1 0 11 - -
Cameron Johnson 17 0-5 0-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -
Landry Shamet 16 3-4 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 7 - -
Torrey Craig 10 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 35 11-28 1-5 7-7 4 7 0 0 30 - -
Ziaire Williams * 34 7-15 1-5 4-4 4 3 0 0 19 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 29 4-13 3-8 6-6 6 3 1 1 17 - -
Xavier Tillman * 28 5-10 0-2 3-5 6 7 1 0 13 - -
Kyle Anderson * 28 3-6 0-1 0-0 10 5 1 0 6 - -
Brandon Clarke 28 5-11 0-0 1-2 5 3 2 0 11 - -
John Konchar 24 6-9 2-2 0-0 6 0 1 0 14 - -
Santi Aldama 21 5-8 0-0 2-4 5 1 1 1 12 - -
Jarrett Culver 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter