Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -5 (117-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Mitchell * | 39 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 36 | 10-16 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 14 | - | |
| Damian Jones * | 30 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 33 | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 30 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 32 | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 27 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - | |
| Josh Jackson | 18 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Alex Len | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 39 | 9-24 | 6-14 | 9-9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 19 | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 38 | 11-24 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 22 | - | |
| Garrison Mathews * | 32 | 7-11 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - | |
| Usman Garuba * | 29 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 27 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 19 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 18 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter