Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.6% | 24.4% | -6.2 | ✗ (38.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +32 (135-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 11-22 | 4-9 | 10-10 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 36 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 34 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 32 | 9-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 27 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 25 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 23 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 13 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 9 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brandon Knight | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Kispert * | 36 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 33 | 13-19 | 6-11 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 29 | 8-18 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura * | 28 | 8-14 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Tomas Satoransky * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 30 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija | 25 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 19 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 2 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Raul Neto | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter