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2022-03-31

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 65.8% 34.2% -
Bradley-Terry 58.8% 41.2% -
Margin 61.2% 38.8% -2.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% -
Efficiency 55.3% 44.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.8% 46.2% -
Log Adjusted 53.7% 46.3% -
Points Off/Def 48.2% 51.8% -

Actual: Brooklyn Nets -1 (119-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 42 6-18 2-7 5-6 8 4 6 0 19 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 39 14-21 1-4 15-19 14 6 1 0 44 - -
Wesley Matthews * 35 4-9 3-7 0-0 2 0 0 1 11 - -
Khris Middleton * 30 4-12 2-7 6-6 9 4 2 1 16 - -
Brook Lopez * 20 2-7 0-3 1-2 3 0 0 1 5 - -
Bobby Portis 30 4-9 1-4 0-0 9 1 1 0 9 - -
Grayson Allen 28 2-4 1-3 0-0 5 0 1 0 5 - -
Pat Connaughton 20 4-8 2-6 1-1 5 1 0 0 11 - -
George Hill 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Jevon Carter 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 45 10-21 3-6 3-3 7 11 1 1 26 - -
Kyrie Irving * 44 9-22 4-9 3-3 3 5 2 0 25 - -
Seth Curry * 34 6-13 4-8 0-0 3 0 0 0 16 - -
Bruce Brown * 34 8-17 3-5 4-4 5 3 1 3 23 - -
Andre Drummond * 28 2-4 0-0 0-2 10 4 2 1 4 - -
Nic Claxton 23 5-6 0-0 1-4 8 1 2 1 11 - -
Goran Dragic 21 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 2 2 0 5 - -
Patty Mills 16 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 - -
James Johnson 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 1 0 - -
Kessler Edwards 5 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter