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2022-03-31

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 15.0% 85.0% -
Bradley-Terry 39.2% 60.8% -
Margin 44.5% 55.5% +1.2 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 60.8% 39.2% -
Efficiency 74.5% 25.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.0% 26.0% -
Log Adjusted 74.1% 25.9% -
Points Off/Def 62.4% 37.6% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -10 (107-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 37 9-16 3-6 4-8 3 4 0 0 25 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 35 8-11 0-2 3-4 11 4 4 0 19 - -
Herbert Jones * 30 1-6 0-1 0-0 1 5 4 1 2 - -
Brandon Ingram * 27 4-12 0-2 11-13 6 6 1 0 19 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 21 6-9 1-2 5-6 3 0 1 2 18 - -
Trey Murphy III 23 3-9 2-6 2-2 6 0 1 0 10 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 21 4-6 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 8 - -
Devonte' Graham 15 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 - -
Jose Alvarado 15 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 3 4 0 6 - -
Naji Marshall 11 1-1 0-0 6-6 1 3 1 1 8 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Drew Eubanks * 31 10-12 1-2 0-0 9 1 1 1 21 - -
CJ Elleby * 30 1-9 1-6 6-7 7 3 0 0 9 - -
Greg Brown III * 27 3-5 3-5 0-0 3 3 0 1 9 - -
Brandon Williams * 27 4-10 2-6 0-0 2 10 1 0 10 - -
Keon Johnson * 22 2-5 1-2 2-3 2 4 0 1 7 - -
Ben McLemore 25 5-12 3-10 3-3 1 1 2 0 16 - -
Kris Dunn 24 4-9 0-0 1-1 5 8 2 0 9 - -
Keljin Blevins 22 2-6 2-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 6 - -
Reggie Perry 16 6-11 0-2 3-4 6 0 0 0 15 - -
Didi Louzada 11 2-6 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 5 - -

* = starter