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2022-03-31

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 51.2% 48.8% -
Bradley-Terry 43.1% 56.9% -
Margin 35.2% 64.8% +3.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% -
Efficiency 49.6% 50.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% -
Log Adjusted 47.1% 52.9% -
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -4 (103-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 40 8-14 1-2 5-6 7 2 1 0 22 - -
Devin Booker * 37 5-21 2-8 10-12 5 2 0 0 22 - -
Deandre Ayton * 35 7-17 0-0 2-2 16 0 0 0 16 - -
Jae Crowder * 34 2-6 2-5 4-4 7 2 3 1 10 - -
Chris Paul * 32 6-9 0-2 3-4 3 8 1 0 15 - -
Landry Shamet 18 3-7 2-5 0-0 0 2 1 0 8 - -
Torrey Craig 17 3-7 0-4 0-0 3 0 3 0 6 - -
Cameron Payne 15 3-7 0-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 6 - -
Bismack Biyombo 8 1-4 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 2 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 36 11-22 7-15 9-10 9 7 1 0 38 - -
Klay Thompson * 33 5-21 1-10 2-2 1 4 0 0 13 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 32 6-16 2-6 5-8 8 1 0 1 19 - -
Draymond Green * 31 2-4 0-0 4-5 10 7 2 3 8 - -
Kevon Looney * 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 28 2-4 1-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 5 - -
Gary Payton II 21 5-8 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 10 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 19 2-3 1-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 5 - -
Andre Iguodala 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 3 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Moses Moody 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter