Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✗ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -3 (118-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Mitchell * | 39 | 11-22 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 36 | 5-12 | 4-6 | 10-12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones * | 34 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 10 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 28 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 23 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 16 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Jackson | 11 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 37 | 11-17 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 36 | 11-25 | 6-14 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 24 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 24 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 23 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 17 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter