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2022-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 55.0% 45.0% -
Bradley-Terry 50.7% 49.3% -
Margin 57.8% 42.2% -1.7 (24.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% -
Efficiency 48.4% 51.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.6% 51.4% -
Log Adjusted 48.6% 51.4% -
Points Off/Def 44.4% 55.6% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +23 (125-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 32 7-13 0-1 2-3 10 3 2 1 16 - -
Anthony Edwards * 31 10-17 4-7 0-0 8 4 1 1 24 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 27 3-15 1-7 6-8 4 3 0 0 13 - -
Patrick Beverley * 22 3-6 2-4 2-3 2 3 0 1 10 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 21 4-8 0-0 2-2 7 2 1 1 10 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 27 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 5 1 1 5 - -
Jaylen Nowell 23 1-7 1-6 1-2 2 2 2 1 4 - -
Taurean Prince 19 2-9 1-3 0-0 5 1 1 1 5 - -
Naz Reid 18 3-7 0-3 3-3 6 2 2 2 9 - -
Jake Layman 5 2-5 1-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Josh Okogie 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -
Leandro Bolmaro 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 40 5-15 0-2 2-2 10 13 1 1 12 - -
OG Anunoby * 32 9-13 4-4 0-0 5 3 0 0 22 - -
Fred VanVleet * 32 5-15 2-7 0-1 3 8 5 1 12 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 27 9-13 6-8 5-5 2 0 0 0 29 - -
Scottie Barnes * 24 7-9 0-0 3-4 5 4 1 1 17 - -
Chris Boucher 22 2-11 1-3 1-1 8 0 0 0 6 - -
Precious Achiuwa 21 5-9 3-7 0-0 4 1 1 0 13 - -
Thaddeus Young 17 4-6 2-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 10 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Yuta Watanabe 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalano Banton 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Armoni Brooks 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Khem Birch 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter