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2022-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 30.6% 69.4% -
Bradley-Terry 24.7% 75.3% -
Margin 18.3% 81.7% +8.2 (19.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% -
Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.5% 57.5% -
Log Adjusted 42.4% 57.6% -
Points Off/Def 41.1% 58.9% -

Actual: New York Knicks -11 (114-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMelo Ball * 36 8-18 1-8 3-3 5 15 3 0 20 - -
Miles Bridges * 33 11-15 4-4 5-6 6 3 0 0 31 - -
P.J. Washington * 33 5-8 1-3 0-0 6 3 1 2 11 - -
Terry Rozier * 33 5-16 1-8 4-4 5 4 2 0 15 - -
Mason Plumlee * 23 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 6 - -
Cody Martin 25 4-6 0-2 0-0 5 5 0 0 8 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 23 8-11 4-7 1-1 5 1 0 1 21 - -
Montrezl Harrell 19 3-4 0-0 2-3 2 4 0 0 8 - -
Jalen McDaniels 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Isaiah Thomas 4 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alec Burks * 40 4-15 4-13 0-0 12 5 1 1 12 - -
RJ Barrett * 38 9-17 1-4 6-8 4 3 1 0 25 - -
Evan Fournier * 35 10-16 6-8 4-5 4 1 1 0 30 - -
Julius Randle * 35 7-16 4-10 3-5 5 7 0 0 21 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 33 2-4 0-0 2-4 10 2 1 1 6 - -
Immanuel Quickley 23 6-12 1-6 3-4 3 4 1 0 16 - -
Obi Toppin 12 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 2 4 - -
Jericho Sims 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 - -
Miles McBride 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter