Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.0% | 38.0% | -2.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -7 (118-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 38 | 8-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 35 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 15-19 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 27 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 20 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 27 | 8-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 19 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 12 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 36 | 7-14 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Terry Taylor * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze * | 33 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Justin Anderson * | 31 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 20 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Duane Washington Jr. | 16 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Keifer Sykes | 14 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Lance Stephenson | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter