Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✗ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -8 (112-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Bullock * | 41 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 38 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 14-26 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 35 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 36 | 10-16 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 21 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 26 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Brandon Knight | 6 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caris LeVert * | 38 | 11-19 | 3-4 | 7-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 37 | 10-17 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown * | 21 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 25 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin | 13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dylan Windler | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| RJ Nembhard Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter