Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +18 (128-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley Johnson * | 34 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk * | 32 | 10-16 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 32 | 9-17 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza | 22 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 17 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 17 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Avery Bradley | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony | 15 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Bullock * | 33 | 6-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 30 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 29 | 12-23 | 4-12 | 6-7 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 28 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 19 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 15 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 14 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Moses Wright | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter