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2022-03-29

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 87.5% 12.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% - ✓
Margin 46.8% 53.2% +0.7 ✓ (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 34.2% 65.8% - ✓
Efficiency 19.5% 80.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 21.0% 79.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 21.0% 79.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 26.3% 73.7% - ✓

Actual: Brooklyn Nets +7 (130-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 32 5-13 3-7 2-2 4 4 1 0 15 - -
Cade Cunningham * 32 13-24 5-11 3-3 1 6 2 0 34 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 31 6-14 2-3 1-2 11 2 0 2 15 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 23 5-6 1-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 11 - -
Cory Joseph * 18 1-7 0-3 3-3 5 2 1 0 5 - -
Killian Hayes 32 6-10 1-3 0-0 4 3 4 1 13 - -
Braxton Key 23 2-8 1-1 0-0 6 0 1 1 5 - -
Kelly Olynyk 16 3-4 1-2 1-2 3 8 1 0 8 - -
Frank Jackson 16 5-10 0-3 1-1 1 1 1 0 11 - -
Rodney McGruder 11 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 - -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 39 14-23 4-6 9-9 11 5 1 3 41 - -
Kyrie Irving * 39 7-18 4-8 6-6 1 4 1 0 24 - -
Seth Curry * 29 2-7 2-6 5-5 3 4 2 0 11 - -
Andre Drummond * 28 5-7 0-0 4-4 13 1 1 0 14 - -
Bruce Brown * 22 4-5 3-3 4-6 2 4 0 1 15 - -
Goran Dragic 26 4-7 1-3 0-0 6 3 1 0 9 - -
Nic Claxton 18 4-5 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 0 11 - -
Patty Mills 16 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
James Johnson 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 2 2 - -
Kessler Edwards 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 - -

* = starter