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2022-03-29

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 67.4% 32.6% -
Bradley-Terry 62.1% 37.9% -
Margin 68.3% 31.7% -4.2 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% -
Efficiency 55.2% 44.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.9% 41.1% -
Log Adjusted 58.9% 41.1% -
Points Off/Def 51.2% 48.8% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -13 (94-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 36 12-27 1-2 7-7 7 4 2 0 32 - -
Zach LaVine * 34 4-10 2-5 4-6 4 1 0 0 14 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 30 12-19 2-5 1-1 5 4 1 0 27 - -
Alex Caruso * 28 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 4 3 0 2 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 26 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 6 0 0 4 - -
Coby White 29 4-9 1-3 0-0 4 5 0 0 9 - -
Patrick Williams 24 2-5 0-1 2-3 7 0 1 0 6 - -
Tristan Thompson 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 4 - -
Javonte Green 12 4-4 0-0 1-1 2 0 2 0 9 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Kispert * 34 3-10 1-7 3-3 1 1 1 0 10 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 32 9-15 1-3 1-2 3 0 1 0 20 - -
Rui Hachimura * 30 8-10 2-3 3-4 4 0 0 0 21 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 29 6-14 0-3 2-2 10 5 0 3 14 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 25 1-4 0-1 1-2 3 10 1 1 3 - -
Deni Avdija 28 6-10 2-5 0-0 8 3 1 1 14 - -
Ish Smith 22 4-10 0-2 0-0 2 4 1 2 8 - -
Daniel Gafford 18 1-5 0-1 0-2 4 2 1 0 2 - -
Anthony Gill 17 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Raul Neto 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter