🐻⬇️🏀

@
2022-03-29

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 68.4% 31.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% - ✓
Margin 44.3% 55.7% +1.3 ✓ (26.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% - ✓
Efficiency 49.1% 50.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 49.2% 50.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 44.0% 56.0% - ✓

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +28 (123-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonathan Kuminga * 34 4-11 0-2 7-10 7 4 1 2 15 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 29 5-15 0-5 0-0 6 2 1 0 10 - -
Jordan Poole * 27 7-17 3-6 8-8 5 3 0 0 25 - -
Kevon Looney * 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -
Gary Payton II * 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Moses Moody 27 7-14 3-7 1-2 3 0 2 2 18 - -
Chris Chiozza 20 2-6 1-4 1-2 2 2 1 0 6 - -
Damion Lee 19 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 4 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 18 2-6 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 5 - -
Andre Iguodala 15 2-3 1-2 1-2 3 2 0 0 6 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 26 7-15 5-6 3-4 2 3 2 0 22 - -
Kyle Anderson * 25 5-8 0-1 3-3 5 1 0 1 13 - -
Tyus Jones * 25 3-9 0-3 1-2 4 6 0 0 7 - -
Dillon Brooks * 22 9-15 1-3 2-4 2 0 1 0 21 - -
Steven Adams * 20 3-5 0-0 2-3 9 2 2 1 8 - -
Xavier Tillman 25 1-7 0-1 3-4 9 3 1 0 5 - -
Brandon Clarke 25 3-9 0-1 6-9 4 2 0 1 12 - -
Ziaire Williams 23 2-5 1-4 3-4 4 4 1 0 8 - -
De'Anthony Melton 21 8-13 5-9 0-0 6 2 0 0 21 - -
John Konchar 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 3 2 0 2 - -
Jarrett Culver 8 1-4 0-1 2-2 3 0 2 0 4 - -

* = starter