Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -3 (120-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 38 | 11-18 | 2-5 | 9-12 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 33 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 36 | 7-17 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 34 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 26 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Joshua Primo * | 25 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 32 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 21 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 12 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 40 | 10-24 | 6-15 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 35 | 9-22 | 3-10 | 5-5 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 28 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews * | 23 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 30 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter