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2022-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 60.3% 39.7% -
Bradley-Terry 59.5% 40.5% -
Margin 72.8% 27.2% -5.4 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% -
Efficiency 64.0% 36.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.6% 37.4% -
Log Adjusted 62.7% 37.3% -
Points Off/Def 53.6% 46.4% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +3 (115-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Daniel Theis * 41 5-10 0-2 3-4 10 2 1 2 13 - -
Derrick White * 40 4-16 3-8 4-4 6 8 0 1 15 - -
Marcus Smart * 39 10-25 2-11 6-9 10 4 0 1 28 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 38 5-8 2-4 1-1 4 1 3 0 13 - -
Grant Williams * 38 5-13 1-3 6-7 7 2 0 2 17 - -
Payton Pritchard 29 3-12 2-9 2-2 8 5 1 0 10 - -
Sam Hauser 20 4-6 2-3 0-0 5 0 0 1 10 - -
Luke Kornet 15 3-4 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 0 6 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 47 17-29 0-4 6-8 13 1 3 2 40 - -
Fred VanVleet * 40 4-13 3-9 3-3 5 3 3 1 14 - -
OG Anunoby * 39 6-12 2-5 0-0 8 3 1 0 14 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 36 4-12 1-5 3-3 1 2 3 0 12 - -
Scottie Barnes * 30 5-12 0-3 0-0 4 4 0 0 10 - -
Precious Achiuwa 28 3-10 1-4 0-2 8 0 0 4 7 - -
Thaddeus Young 27 5-9 2-5 0-0 8 3 1 3 12 - -
Chris Boucher 14 2-9 1-4 1-2 4 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter