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2022-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 44.6% 55.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 38.5% 61.5% - ✓
Margin 29.2% 70.8% +4.9 ✓ (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% - ✓
Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 44.8% 55.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 42.3% 57.7% - ✓

Actual: New York Knicks +5 (109-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 41 12-26 1-1 12-12 6 7 0 0 37 - -
Zach LaVine * 36 8-17 2-7 9-10 4 3 0 0 27 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 36 4-8 2-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 10 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 33 6-11 0-1 4-5 13 1 2 1 16 - -
Alex Caruso * 30 1-4 1-4 0-0 5 2 2 1 3 - -
Coby White 21 2-9 0-5 2-2 7 0 0 0 6 - -
Javonte Green 14 0-1 0-0 3-4 2 0 1 0 3 - -
Tristan Thompson 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 - -
Patrick Williams 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 43 10-24 2-3 6-7 6 3 1 0 28 - -
Alec Burks * 41 9-19 5-10 4-4 6 3 1 0 27 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 34 8-9 0-0 0-2 12 2 1 3 16 - -
Julius Randle * 27 1-9 0-4 3-6 13 4 0 1 5 - -
Evan Fournier * 24 2-10 1-8 0-0 1 3 1 0 5 - -
Immanuel Quickley 26 1-5 1-3 5-7 1 4 0 0 8 - -
Obi Toppin 20 6-11 3-6 2-5 2 0 0 0 17 - -
Jericho Sims 13 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Miles McBride 7 1-2 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter