Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.1% | 52.9% | +0.6 | ✗ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -9 (123-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 36 | 4-13 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 33 | 8-13 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 30 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright * | 30 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot * | 30 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 28 | 8-14 | 5-7 | 8-10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 17 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Lou Williams | 14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 39 | 9-19 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 38 | 10-15 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Keifer Sykes * | 33 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze * | 29 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Justin Anderson * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Terry Taylor | 32 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 22 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Lance Stephenson | 15 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - |
* = starter