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2022-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 31.4% 68.6% -
Bradley-Terry 25.6% 74.4% -
Margin 15.7% 84.3% +9.3 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 33.1% 66.9% -
Efficiency 14.8% 85.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.8% 80.2% -
Log Adjusted 19.8% 80.2% -
Points Off/Def 25.6% 74.4% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +6 (107-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 27 4-8 0-2 2-2 3 6 0 0 10 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 26 7-14 0-4 1-6 12 6 1 0 15 - -
Cole Anthony * 24 4-8 1-4 2-2 1 4 1 0 11 - -
Mo Bamba * 22 4-6 3-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 11 - -
R.J. Hampton * 12 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Chuma Okeke 25 3-11 1-6 0-0 5 3 1 0 7 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 22 6-10 0-3 1-2 4 0 0 0 13 - -
Moritz Wagner 21 1-5 0-3 0-0 5 5 1 1 2 - -
Admiral Schofield 20 4-8 2-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 10 - -
Markelle Fultz 18 5-11 0-1 1-1 1 4 2 0 11 - -
Jeff Dowtin 17 2-4 1-2 0-0 6 2 0 0 5 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 40 7-17 5-10 6-6 3 12 3 0 25 - -
Isaac Okoro * 36 4-6 0-0 3-3 5 1 4 1 11 - -
Caris LeVert * 32 4-15 0-4 0-0 7 6 1 1 8 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 29 6-15 3-9 5-5 3 0 0 0 20 - -
Evan Mobley * 13 3-3 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Kevin Love 32 7-15 4-12 1-1 7 3 0 0 19 - -
Lamar Stevens 23 2-4 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 6 - -
Dylan Windler 16 1-4 0-2 3-4 9 2 2 0 5 - -
Brandon Goodwin 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Moses Brown 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 4 - -

* = starter