Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.6% | 28.4% | -5.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -4 (109-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 37 | 7-17 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 33 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 32 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 26 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 36 | 12-22 | 2-10 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 34 | 8-21 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 29 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 26 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 26 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Thomas | 21 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter