Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.7% | 74.3% | +5.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +14 (114-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 31 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 29 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Eric Paschall * | 26 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 26 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 29 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 23 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 20 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jared Butler | 9 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Xavier Sneed | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Bullock * | 34 | 8-12 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 32 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 32 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 32 | 11-21 | 4-7 | 6-9 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 23 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter