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2022-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 50.4% 49.6% -
Bradley-Terry 52.8% 47.2% -
Margin 50.5% 49.5% -0.1 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% -
Efficiency 39.0% 61.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.0% 63.0% -
Log Adjusted 36.9% 63.1% -
Points Off/Def 36.9% 63.1% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +8 (116-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 41 14-27 7-13 4-6 9 5 0 1 39 - -
Dwight Howard * 33 3-5 0-0 2-2 10 0 0 0 8 - -
Russell Westbrook * 31 8-15 2-5 0-0 7 6 1 0 18 - -
Austin Reaves * 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 6 6 1 0 0 - -
Wenyen Gabriel * 17 2-3 0-0 0-3 2 0 1 0 4 - -
Malik Monk 28 9-17 2-8 3-3 0 6 0 0 23 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 21 3-4 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 7 - -
Stanley Johnson 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Carmelo Anthony 14 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 3 - -
D.J. Augustin 12 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 6 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Herbert Jones * 38 6-14 3-7 1-2 2 2 6 0 16 - -
CJ McCollum * 37 7-16 2-5 2-4 4 6 1 0 18 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 36 7-13 0-0 5-6 12 3 1 1 19 - -
Brandon Ingram * 25 10-17 0-2 6-7 7 5 0 0 26 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 17 3-4 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 8 - -
Trey Murphy III 25 7-12 4-7 3-3 4 0 0 0 21 - -
Naji Marshall 21 1-5 0-1 0-0 6 3 2 0 2 - -
Jose Alvarado 17 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Devonte' Graham 16 1-6 0-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Willy Hernangomez 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter