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2022-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 26.7% 73.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 32.4% 67.6% - ✓
Margin 28.3% 71.7% +5.1 ✓ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% - ✓
Efficiency 32.4% 67.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 33.8% 66.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 35.3% 64.7% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Suns +10 (114-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 39 2-11 2-5 8-8 7 9 1 0 14 - -
Tobias Harris * 38 8-14 1-5 0-0 8 2 0 0 17 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 37 7-21 3-10 1-2 0 3 0 0 18 - -
Joel Embiid * 37 14-27 1-5 8-12 15 3 3 2 37 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 15 0-1 0-0 3-4 0 0 0 1 3 - -
Danny Green 28 2-7 2-7 0-0 8 1 1 0 6 - -
Georges Niang 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Shake Milton 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 - -
DeAndre Jordan 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 4 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 40 5-11 1-2 0-0 5 1 1 2 11 - -
Chris Paul * 36 9-15 1-3 0-0 4 14 1 1 19 - -
Devin Booker * 34 13-22 3-5 6-8 2 2 0 0 35 - -
Deandre Ayton * 30 5-8 0-0 4-6 12 2 1 0 14 - -
Jae Crowder * 29 3-8 3-7 0-0 8 2 2 0 9 - -
Torrey Craig 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Bismack Biyombo 17 3-6 0-0 0-1 7 0 0 2 6 - -
Landry Shamet 16 4-7 3-5 1-2 0 0 0 0 12 - -
Cameron Payne 15 2-7 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 5 - -

* = starter