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2022-03-27

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 17.3% 82.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 53.0% 47.0% - ✓
Margin 57.4% 42.6% -1.6 ✓ (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 59.6% 40.4% - ✓
Efficiency 72.4% 27.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 71.4% 28.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 71.5% 28.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 60.2% 39.8% - ✓

Actual: Detroit Pistons -2 (102-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 36 7-18 1-5 6-7 9 1 1 0 21 - -
Alec Burks * 32 4-6 3-5 7-8 5 2 1 1 18 - -
Julius Randle * 31 7-18 2-5 4-8 7 5 2 0 20 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 29 1-3 0-0 2-2 9 1 1 5 4 - -
Evan Fournier * 26 4-12 3-10 0-0 2 4 1 0 11 - -
Immanuel Quickley 31 6-15 4-9 2-2 6 3 0 0 18 - -
Jericho Sims 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 2 - -
Obi Toppin 16 4-6 0-2 2-2 1 2 1 1 10 - -
Miles McBride 16 0-6 0-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Stewart * 37 4-6 2-3 0-0 10 3 1 1 10 - -
Cade Cunningham * 36 7-18 1-4 3-4 0 7 1 2 18 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 35 11-14 1-2 4-5 7 0 0 1 27 - -
Saddiq Bey * 31 4-10 1-6 5-5 3 2 1 0 14 - -
Cory Joseph * 21 3-5 1-1 2-2 6 4 0 0 9 - -
Killian Hayes 25 3-9 0-2 0-0 6 2 1 0 6 - -
Kelly Olynyk 18 1-6 0-4 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 - -
Frank Jackson 13 2-7 1-3 2-2 0 1 1 0 7 - -
Braxton Key 13 4-7 1-1 0-0 2 0 2 1 9 - -
Rodney McGruder 7 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter