Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +6 (113-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksej Pokusevski * | 34 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann * | 32 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon * | 32 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby * | 24 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 13 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 29 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 27 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 25 | 5-11 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Olivier Sarr | 19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 35 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 13-15 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 35 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 34 | 8-17 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 19 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 27 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter