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2022-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 52.1% 47.9% -
Bradley-Terry 43.7% 56.3% -
Margin 34.1% 65.9% +3.6 (21.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -
Efficiency 38.8% 61.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% -
Log Adjusted 38.1% 61.9% -
Points Off/Def 37.5% 62.5% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +25 (127-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grayson Allen * 29 3-6 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 7 - -
Khris Middleton * 28 5-16 1-4 5-5 5 5 0 0 16 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 28 11-20 0-1 8-10 11 4 0 4 30 - -
George Hill * 24 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 5 - -
Brook Lopez * 21 4-9 2-5 0-0 6 0 2 1 10 - -
Jevon Carter 22 4-5 1-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 9 - -
Pat Connaughton 21 3-7 0-4 3-4 4 1 0 0 9 - -
Bobby Portis 20 2-13 1-4 2-3 11 0 0 1 7 - -
Wesley Matthews 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 - -
Jordan Nwora 10 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Lindell Wigginton 5 1-3 0-2 1-2 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 4 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 28 9-19 2-7 0-0 3 5 2 0 20 - -
Tyus Jones * 28 4-9 2-4 3-4 4 10 1 0 13 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 27 5-14 0-4 6-6 6 0 1 2 16 - -
Steven Adams * 24 2-7 0-0 0-0 11 5 1 2 4 - -
Dillon Brooks * 24 9-17 0-3 1-2 3 1 0 0 19 - -
Xavier Tillman 21 3-7 0-1 2-3 11 3 0 0 8 - -
De'Anthony Melton 21 8-11 6-9 2-4 3 2 3 0 24 - -
Kyle Anderson 20 3-6 1-2 2-2 4 0 1 2 9 - -
Ziaire Williams 17 3-6 1-4 0-2 3 3 1 1 7 - -
John Konchar 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 1 3 - -
Yves Pons 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Santi Aldama 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Jarrett Culver 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter