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2022-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Miami Heat Spread Result
Elo 19.2% 80.8% -
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% -
Margin 23.4% 76.6% +6.5 (21.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% -
Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.7% 65.3% -
Log Adjusted 34.7% 65.3% -
Points Off/Def 35.1% 64.9% -

Actual: Miami Heat -15 (95-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 30 7-14 0-2 9-10 3 5 3 1 23 - -
Kyrie Irving * 30 4-11 1-5 2-2 4 6 2 0 11 - -
Bruce Brown * 23 3-4 0-1 2-2 1 5 3 0 8 - -
Seth Curry * 21 6-10 5-6 0-0 0 0 1 0 17 - -
Andre Drummond * 17 6-11 0-0 1-5 11 1 2 0 13 - -
Goran Dragic 21 1-4 0-2 4-4 4 4 0 1 6 - -
James Johnson 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 3 3 1 2 - -
Patty Mills 20 2-11 2-11 3-3 1 1 0 0 9 - -
Nic Claxton 18 5-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 10 - -
Kessler Edwards 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Blake Griffin 12 3-5 3-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 9 - -
Cam Thomas 7 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 25 5-9 2-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 12 - -
Jimmy Butler * 24 2-9 0-3 3-4 6 4 1 1 7 - -
Bam Adebayo * 24 5-8 0-1 4-6 6 2 1 2 14 - -
P.J. Tucker * 22 3-5 1-3 2-2 2 0 1 0 9 - -
Duncan Robinson * 13 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Tyler Herro 31 5-14 0-5 3-3 4 3 3 0 13 - -
Victor Oladipo 25 3-9 1-2 2-3 3 6 0 0 9 - -
Caleb Martin 25 3-5 2-2 2-2 2 0 0 1 10 - -
Max Strus 16 5-8 3-6 0-0 1 3 0 0 13 - -
Dewayne Dedmon 15 2-4 1-3 3-6 9 0 0 1 8 - -
Omer Yurtseven 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Haywood Highsmith 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter