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2022-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 30.8% 69.2% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 20.7% 79.3% +7.4 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% -
Efficiency 34.6% 65.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.3% 58.7% -
Log Adjusted 41.3% 58.7% -
Points Off/Def 40.0% 60.0% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -4 (94-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 38 8-17 2-7 7-8 1 3 1 0 25 - -
Alex Caruso * 38 3-5 2-2 2-2 8 7 2 0 10 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 35 6-14 1-4 3-3 9 4 1 1 16 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 34 8-17 0-1 4-5 5 2 0 0 20 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 31 5-6 0-1 1-1 2 5 0 0 11 - -
Coby White 19 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Javonte Green 14 2-5 0-3 3-3 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Patrick Williams 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Tristan Thompson 12 2-4 0-0 1-3 4 1 1 0 5 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 44 9-22 1-7 9-11 6 5 2 0 28 - -
Caris LeVert * 36 7-14 1-6 2-6 5 3 1 0 17 - -
Isaac Okoro * 34 2-2 1-1 1-2 2 1 0 1 6 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 32 5-13 1-7 3-4 9 2 2 1 14 - -
Evan Mobley * 32 4-13 1-2 0-0 11 4 1 0 9 - -
Lamar Stevens 25 5-9 1-1 2-2 4 1 1 0 13 - -
Kevin Love 17 2-8 1-6 0-0 4 1 0 1 5 - -
Dylan Windler 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 - -
Cedi Osman 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter