Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.6% | 46.4% | -0.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -4 (103-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 40 | 4-19 | 0-5 | 7-8 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 35 | 9-17 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Joshua Primo * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 27 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 19 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 14 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Joe Wieskamp | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 35 | 12-25 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 31 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 29 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 29 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham * | 28 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 29 | 10-19 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter