Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | +4.3 | ✓ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +21 (116-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 8-18 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 33 | 1-11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 32 | 3-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 30 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 26 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 21 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 32 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 30 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 29 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince | 21 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 20 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Nathan Knight | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jake Layman | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Leandro Bolmaro | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter