Model Predictions
| Model | New York Knicks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -8 (103-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett * | 33 | 5-17 | 2-10 | 6-8 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier * | 29 | 2-11 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jericho Sims * | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin * | 26 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 24 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley | 24 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 8-8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Taj Gibson | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Mitchell Robinson | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Miles McBride | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 15 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 37 | 11-17 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 36 | 4-11 | 3-10 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 31 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 23 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 30 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 15 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
* = starter